On this list of player over/unders it may be worth a well solution to wager over on all bets across the board and go for about a 60 percent win factor. I did bet a few unders on the sheet towards the end. I continue to find value on the whole gambling aspect of listed odds. I will throw down some more money on these selections. I am just hoping that I don’t become too over-confident for my own good.
With less than 2 months until the regular season begins, we are starting to see some prop bets show up online and in Las Vegas.
Come back by the start of March to see Over/Under wins for all 30 MLB clubs, and also when they decide to implement individual player prop bets.
With so many MVP candidates and Cy Young type pitchers, we are favoring Over a lot more than Under yet again in 2017.
We compiled a 6 – 0 individual player bet prop record, and were not so hot on these props listed, but we still managed a .500 record even for those.
part 2 will be at the end of February..
Can Bryant hit more than 46.5 HRs in 2017? If so, you would win the bet over that mark. But you also have the entire field of players over the total in case someone else does it.
2017 MLB REGULAR SEASON Player PROPS
MOST HR’s By: Any Player
Over 46½ (-110)
Under 46½ (-110)
This is a tough call. If Giancarlo Stanton were able to play 150 Games, I believe he would hit 50 HRs. Chris Davis has two seasons over this mark in 2013 and 2015.
Mark Trumbo also belted 47 bombs in 2016 to led the Major Leagues.
Kris Bryant also will challenge 50 HRs pretty soon here.
Nolan Arenado is fresh off back to back 40+ HRs years. I think there is another level for this guy, and with Ian Desmond in his lineup, and a full year of Trevor Story (who was on pace for 46 HRs himself during his rookie season before injury sidelined him for the rest of the campaign right after the ALL – Star Break).
Give me the over. Someone should hit 47 – 50 HRs out of that crew.
MOST RUNS By: Any Player
Over 122½ (-110)
Under 122½ (-110)
MIke Trout reached home plate 123 times in 2016, with Mookie Betts and Josh Donaldson both scoring 122 Runs right behind him – and Kris Bryant led the NL with 121.
Trea Turner and Jose Altuve have got to be candidates to add with this list.
MOST STOLEN BASES By: Any Player
Over 63½ (-110)
Under 63½ (-110)
Again pick the over. Billy Hamilton would have easily stolen well over 70 Bags with Cincinnati if he hadn’t of been hurt. I fully expect the Reds to givehim a chance to bat all year with no worry about the Reds losing at all.
Dee Gordon thieved 58 bags in 2015 – and is capable of going over 63 himself with a full year (had 30 SB in 78 GP for 2017) that doesn’t include the PED suspension.
Jonathan Villar led the Majors in 2016 with 62 Bags, but I think he will recede a bit this season.
MOST TRIPLES By : Any Player
Over 12½ (-120)
Under 12½ (+100)
With predicting breakout years for Trea Turner and Billy Hamilton in 2017, I like the over. No one has stolen 100 Bags since Vince Coleman swiped that many 30 years ago. In his last 49 Games of 2016, Hamilton had 36 SB. Please chase 100 in your career Billy!
MOST LOSSES By: Any Pitcher
Over 17.5 (-120)
Under 17 .5(+100)
James Shields and Chris Archer both had 19 Losses, although Shields escaped this wrath with splitting the feat between the two leagues. I fully expect someone to be headed to the Mike Maroth, Jeremy Bonderman 2003 status
MOST STRIKEOUTS By: Any Pitcher
Over 276½ (-110)
Under 276½ (-110)
Max Scherzer crossed this mark last year with 284, and I think he may challenge 300 in the next year or 2. Clayton kershaw should not try to challenge this mark, as his best bullets should be held off for the Playoffs.
Still pick the over. Chris Sale is going to fan a ton of Orioles, Rays, Yankees and Blue Jays in 2017 with 76 Games against those windmill clubs.
MOST RBI’s By: Any Player
Over 127½ (-110)
Under 127½ (-110)
Over. Over. Over. Nolan Arenado should reel in 130+ RBI with that lineup, and Kris Bryant may put one of those 40 HRs and 135 RBI seasons. I am not sure the American League has a guy to pull it off. Edwin Encarnacion has 127 RBI to lead the AL in 2016.
MOST HITS By: Any Player
Over 213½ (-120)
Under 213½ (+100)
Jose Altuve (216) and Mookie Betts were both over the mark last year. I will pick Trea Turner to lead the National League in Base Knocks in this upcoming campaign
MOST DOUBLES y: Any Player
Over 50½ (-120)
Under 50½ (+100)
David Ortiz led the Majors last year – which is super shocking. With speed demons like Trea Turner, Carlos Correa, Mike Trout or Jose Altuve hanging around. I believe one of those guys will best the mark. Pick the over.
MOST WINS By: Any Pitcher
Over 21.5 (+120)
Under 21.5 (-140)
Clayton Kershaw, Corey Kluber, Chris Sale, David Price and Max Scherzer are the top 5 Starters to accomplish the feat. I will go with the under on this line though.
If given just one player to choose, it would be Scherzer without a great Closer in Washington yet.
MOST SAVES By: Any Pitcher
Over 49½ (-110)
Under 49½ (-110)
Actually this is a perfect total. I have Aroldis Chapman leading the Majors with 51 Saves on the campaign. The total is too close to wager on.
MOST COMPLETE GAMES By: Any Pitcher
Over 5.5 (-110)
Under 5.5 (-110)
Last season Chris Sale had 6 to eclipse the mark, and he or David Price could do the same. Of course Madison Bumgarner and Johnny Cueto of the Reds are good wagers to lead the league too.
Triple Plays In The Season
Over 1.5 (-140)
Under 1.5 (+120)
There are definitely enough boneheaded baserunners for this to happen. Having said that, I will pick the Under here. The feat is rare.
No Hitters for the Year (Includes Perfect Games)
Over 3.5 (-140)
Under 3.5 (+120)
A paltry number of one was dealt last season (Jake Arrieta) despite plenty of guys taking bids late into games. I am going to take the under again, and hope I am wrong, so we can update our list at the MLB Reports several times.
Will There Be a Pitcher with 17 Strikeouts In A Game?
Yes (+120)
No (-140)
Last Season, Max Scherzer K’d 20 guys to tie the record, and even Danny Duffy got into the act to whiff 17. Look for this to happen again. Instead of saying whom, let’s go with favorite teams to do it against.
- Houston Astros
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Atlanta Braves
- SD Padres
- Baltimore Orioles
- Tampa Bay Rays
# Of Cycles For The Year
Over 2.5 (-110)
Under 2.5 (-110)
There were 2 hit last season with Rajai Davis and of all people John Jaso.
You can almost always count on a Rockies Player to do it (Nolan Arenado, Ian Desmond, Carlos Gonzalez, Trevor Story, Charlie Blackmon and DJ Lemahieu all have a shot
Count me in for Mike Trout, Trea Turner, Xander Bogaerts, Paul Goldschmidt, Bryce Harper, Daniel Murphy, Corey Seager, Carlos Correa and lets go rogue with a guy that is speedy, with a little bit of pop like Starling Marte or Jonathan Villar.
Will There Be A Batter With 6 Base Hits in A Game?
Yes (+300)
No (-400)
Yes. With the thought process that one of the 2 selections of a 4 HR Game or this category, I like it to happen. Favorites to accomplish the feat: Trea Turner, Jose Altuve, Mookie Betts or even a Rougned Odor.
It will take a gut that likes to “Swing it like Hellen Keller at a Pinata (or however you spell it) Party” – Billy Bob Thronton in the remake of the Bad News Bears.
Will There Be A Batter With 4 HRs In A Game?
Yes (+300)
No (-400)
Again.. The last 4 HR game was by Josh Hamilton in 2012 for the Rangers. There were many times with players having 3 HRs games.
My favorites for the 4 Jack Day are: Bryce Harper, Kris Bryant, Manny Machado or Chris Davis to pull the maneuver.
Will There be A Perfect Game Thrown This Year?
Yes (+235)
No (-300
I think we are due for one this year. I mean how close have we come in the last few years? I am going to slate either Clayton Kershaw or Max Scherzer to be the guy to do it.
No Parlays
Odds Subject To Change.
Billy Hamilton has all world speed, and put his best 43 game stretch together for his career in the 2nd half of 2016. In that time frame, he thieved 36 Bags and hit .293 with a .369 OBP and plated 32 runs over his those 197 Plate Appearances. If he plays a full season with 550 Plate Appearances, I fully expect to him to crush the 63.5 SB over/under threshold, and think he has a legitimate shot to challenge 100 Bases in the next few years. A mark that has not been done since Vince Coleman accomplished 3 straight campaigns with 100+ SB in the late eighties,
*** The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of mlbreports.com and their partners***
A Big thanks goes out to our chief writer Hunter Stokes for preparing today’s feature post.
To Subscribe and listen daily to ‘Our Lead Personality’ Sully’s 20 Minutes Daily (every day since Oct.24, 2012) Podcast click here. Guaranteed listening to the Sully Baseball Daily Podcast will be the best time you invest in online!
Tagged: 2017 MLB Regular Season Player Prop Bet, aroldis chapman, bryce harper, carlos correa, chris archer, chris davis, chris sale, Clayron Kershaw, Corey Kluber, corey seager, daniel murphy, Danny Duffy, david ortiz, david price, dee gordon, edwin encarnacion, giancarlo stanton, ian desmond, jake arrieta, James Maroth, james shields, Jeremy Bonderman, john jaso, johnny cueto, Jonathan Villar, jose altuve, kris bryant, madison bumgarner, mark trumbo, max scherzer, Mike Trour, Mookie Betts, nolan arenado, paul goldschmidt, rajai davis, robinson cano, Rougned Odor, topbet.com, trea turner, trevor story, vince coleman, xander bogaerts
